"Frontier AI companies probably can’t leave the US" by Anders Woodruff

It's plausible that, over the next few years, US-based frontier AI companies will become very unhappy with the domestic political situation. This could happen as a result of democratic backsliding, weaponization of government power (along the lines of Anthropic's recent dispute with the Department of War), or because of restrictive federal regulations (perhaps including those motivated by concern about catastrophic risk). These companies might want to relocate out of the US.

However, it would be very easy for the US executive branch to prevent such a relocation, and it likely would. In particular, the executive branch can use...